News about hut closures.
http://news.outdoors.org/2011/08/amc...osing-due.html
Itg sucks more if you die during the storm that created the blowdowns. Nys Gov Cuomo has advised people to stay away from mountaintops and high ridges due to the expected hi winds. I expect itll be worse in the whites. so lets worry about the cleanup afterward, just make sure you and family are in a safe place to ride it out, and those in vulnerable parts of the trail do the same.Originally Posted by jbwood5
Wow has the AMC huts ever closed like that this time of year? Just wondering if there's a precedent.
huts were open in 99' during floyd. tons of hikers ended up in gorham for a week or more,from 50 miles in each direction.
the 100 mile widerness felt like a track meet with so many blowdowns :-)
Saw on another thread they are basically closing down the entire White Mountain trail system. I mean wow
On the bright side. There will be plenty of firewood for next hiking season.
Maybe even for 2013 (my year)
Fear ridges that are depicted as flat lines on a profile map.
I am planning on being in the Bigelow Range late next week to assist in the cleanup.
skinny d
Looking better, only going to be projected Cat 1 at the Outer Banks and tropical storm up north. They don't know why this warm wind is tearing it apart.
Blissful, you're getting my hopes up, do you have a link to this latest forecast?Looking better, only going to be projected Cat 1 at the Outer Banks and tropical storm up north. They don't know why this warm wind is tearing it apart.
Colorless green ideas sleep furiously.
they did expect it to weaken and then restrenghthen again after NC.so far in nY they havent changed their position(either cat1 or TS) but either way theyre predicting wind speeds in excess of 75mph, along with the weakened tree root situation, massive power outages., we have a mandatoryevacuation for Zone A areas of NYC(the first time in history), and Long Beach is under a voluntary evacuation, which may change to mandatory if the storm continues present course.we've laughed in the face of many hurricanes before, but we're taking this one seriously.
The coast and northeast are doing the right thing by evacuation b/c of flooding. I just saw it on the Weather Channel - you can see the shearing taking place, but there is not the warm water north to strengthen it. If anything this looks like it will likely be more a water event, i.e .flooding - which can still bring down trees etc. Its also turning more to the east now which leaves most of where I am out of the rain (which we need in the Blue Ridge, its very dry). Oh well.
Yes, the latest forecast is that the storm track has moved back west, close to it's previously predicted path but weaker.
Basically, if it follows it's current centerline precisely, in New England winds will be at 55-85 mph (previous prediction was 85-105 mph) and the eye of the storm stay 26 miles SE of the trail through all of NH and most of ME.
Oh, for heaven's sake, they're not closing the White Mountains. (And if anyone out there knows how you close a forest, please enlighten us.) And the Huts being closed is no big deal, most thrus don't stay there anyway. Once upon a time, believe it or not, bad weather kinda snuck up on you. Today, EVERYONE knows about this storm and they know when it's due. 99% of the thru-hikers in New Hampshire will be spending the next few days in Hanover, Glencliff, North Woodstock, and Gorham. They will be eating pizza, drinking a lot of beer, watching a ball game or two, and generally having a great time. I assure you, this alarm over the plight of poor stranded hikers in the White Mountains is a bit overblown.
The TV coverage on this hurricane is unbelievable I think we are literally going to watch every move of it as it hits land and moves up the coast. I have seen no films or anything on the Bahamas not sure how they fared. I especially love the way the correspondents stand at an angle into the wind even at 20 to 30 knots. They are saying that this is a fairly dry hurricane not much rain as one would normally drop but that the storm surges are the biggest concern and it is spawning tornadoes some have touched ground in North Carolina. Hope the hikers get themselves holed up somewhere and just ride it out 18 to 21 hours for it to move through an area because of its size.
Last edited by Ladytrekker; 08-26-2011 at 23:44.
If you can’t fix it with duct tape or a beer; it ain’t worth fixing
Wise words.
Storm surges are very very bad, but they are not an AT issue.
The forecast keeps changing back and forth, but the latest calls for lot of rain in PA, NJ and NY and potentially serious problems along the AT in new England. For normal-minded people this will be a great storm to view from a car or building with real walls etc., but really sucky to view it from under a couple of mms of plastic tenting.
Just saying.
Here's how the noaa.gov high-side rain estimates in inches are looking around here and going north on the AT (this is for roughly Saturday through early Monday) --
Central Park -- "in excess" of 8.5 possible
Bear Mtn -- "in excess" of 8.5 possible
Dalton, MA -- "in excess" of 7.25 possible
Hanover, NH -- 6.25
Gorham, NH -- 7.5
Caratunk, ME -- 6.25
Mt. Katahdin, ME -- 4.0
Several parts of the city are in mandatory evacuation including Battery Park City in lower Manhattan. Probably not that many people will actually leave their homes. Grocery stores today were quite crowded but nothing too out of hand. The subways gonna stop tomorrow at noon. That's crazy
Here's how the noaa.gov high-side rain estimates in inches are looking around here and going north on the AT (this is for roughly Saturday through early Monday) --
Central Park -- "in excess" of 8.5 possible
Bear Mtn -- "in excess" of 8.5 possible
Dalton, MA -- "in excess" of 7.25 possible
Hanover, NH -- 6.25
Gorham, NH -- 7.5
Caratunk, ME -- 6.25
Mt. Katahdin, ME -- 4.0
Several parts of the city are in mandatory evacuation including Battery Park City in lower Manhattan. Probably not that many people will actually leave their homes. Grocery stores today were quite crowded but nothing too out of hand. The subways gonna stop tomorrow at noon. That's crazy
Best one can hope for in NC - getting wave action and rain, but just a Cat 1, shearing on the southern part of the storm (which will mean less rain) and coming ashore at Cape Lookout, uninhabited. Still think this going to mainly be a rainmaker up north as a hefty tropical storm. Could have been much worse.
If anyone is hiking the trail up in the White Mountains.. they should get off trail ASAP.
Here's a link to the Mount Washington Observatory's forecast discussion for the higher summits:
http://www.mountwashington.org/weath...t_forecast.php
David
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