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View Full Version : What are the odds, Cayman to Katahdin?



LAF
02-25-2014, 15:38
Well, I'm obviously bored today....

so I'm curious, what are the odds makers saying about a dive instructor on the Cayman Islands making it to Katahdin (and via the trail from springer, but not walking from cayman :))? yes, no, 50:50,...?

Lone Wolf
02-25-2014, 16:08
30% chance

coach lou
02-25-2014, 16:14
I'll give you 50/50 if you have Diana Nyad towing you!

LAF
02-25-2014, 16:31
I'll give you 50/50 if you have Diana Nyad towing you!

yeah, would go to 0 if it was Lloyd Bridges doing the towing (whether he's dead or alive wouldn't matter at this point)

jdc5294
02-25-2014, 16:39
(http://www.whiteblaze.net/forum/member.php?51515-psyenz)psyenz I've been to cayman about 10 times, i'll be leaving to become a diver in the Army in 3 months and being a dive instructor is something i'd really like to pursue after i get out, would you mind if i pick your brain over PMs a bit?

LAF
02-25-2014, 16:52
psyenz I've been to cayman about 10 times, i'll be leaving to become a diver in the Army in 3 months and being a dive instructor is something i'd really like to pursue after i get out, would you mind if i pick your brain over PMs a bit?

Sure, no worries jdc, be happy to. Diving in the army and being a recreational dive instructor and guide are a world apart.


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LAF
02-25-2014, 18:22
well, I was expecting something, here I thought you guys and gals would provide some alternative motivation for me :-) soooo, let's add a little more info, but only a little....

how about a 57 year old dive instructor with a currently planned start date of 25-Mar....?

Slo-go'en
02-25-2014, 19:02
The only issue I can think of is how you'll deal with the cold rain. Going from a nice, warm tropical island to the harsh weather of the southern Appalachians the end of March will be a real shock to the system. If you don't freeze to death in the first month, you should be as good to go as anyone else is.

Although your probably in pretty good shape with kicking your legs underwater and all that, do some hiking before you leave. I imagine there is a tall, volcanic hill you can climb on the Caymans to get your trail legs started. Do that climb once a day between now and then and you should be able to hit the trail running.

FishyOne
02-25-2014, 19:14
I like your chances, I'm guessing you are in better shape than most that start a thru-hike... PADI dive master 28 years. Good Luck!!!

Meriadoc
02-25-2014, 21:28
50%. The divers I know are incredible :).

Stock figure for a random person is 25% chance of completion. I give you better than average odds. Strengthen those knees! (since swimming is not a load bearing activity)

Alligator
02-26-2014, 11:25
Closed per request of the OP.