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Lnj
10-08-2015, 13:15
My husband and I are doing a quick shakedown hike the weekend of Halloween at Grandfather Mtn. Being from GA, Not sure what to expect in weather that time of the year in the NC mountains, so therefore, clothing, etc. preparations are a question...

Who is familiar with that area and can tell us the best and worst cases for what to expect that weekend?

Ktaadn
10-08-2015, 15:36
Worst case is freezing rain. Best case is sunny/dry/warm. Weather.com can give you the average as well as record highs and lows.

rocketsocks
10-08-2015, 15:52
Depends...

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-E01FTrQt1tA/TtI7C7P7d5I/AAAAAAAAAJs/kXA_ep7gsVg/s1600/heaven-and-hell-8.jpg

Tennessee Viking
10-08-2015, 16:12
For Halloween, expect at or just above freezing temps.

I have hiked Grandfather on a rainy Labor Day. And you can definitely go from warm to cold quick. I would expect frost/light snow conditions to highs in the 60s.

Grandfather to Roan Mtn you can expect the unpredictable. I have seen measurable snowfall in Boone around Halloween to April.

Alleghanian Orogeny
10-08-2015, 17:26
I rely heavily on Rays Weather (www.raysweather.com) for forecasts of weather in northwest NC and nearby parts of TN and VA. Ray's is a homegrown forecasting effort and as near as I can tell, they're very, very good. In particular, their efforts focus on "micro environments" like the peaks of the Blue Ridge, the deep valleys, the western slopes along the TN border, etc.

For this coming weekend, Ray's forecast for Banner Elk, elevation 4,100' or so, shows highs in the high 50s to low 60s and lows in the low 40s, with showers likely on Saturday, and winds light.

Bear in mind the elevations involved at Grandfather Mountain's backcountry trail system: Grandfather's summit is right at 6,000'. The Boone Fork Trailhead along the Parkway is right at 4,000'. The designated backcountry campsites on that side of the mountain, in and around the Boone Fork headwaters bowl, are probably between 4,200' and 4,400'. The High Balsam site much closer to the Calloway Peak summit is probably above 5,500'. Temps will normally decline by between 3 and 5 deg F per 1,000' (absent an inversion, which is actually pretty common in winter). That said, you may be looking at highs around 50 on Saturday, lows in the high 30s, and wetness from showers and fog.

AO

Alleghanian Orogeny
10-08-2015, 17:33
Just noticed the plan is for Halloween. Still recommend looking at Ray's forecast starting 3-5 days beforehand for then-current predictions. But you very well may see sub-freezing lows and frozen precip is not out of the question. Hurricane Sandy brought blizzard conditions in late October up there. You may also enjoy highs in the 70s! Most everything in between is possible, and it's far too early to guess.

AO

Lnj
10-08-2015, 17:39
Just noticed the plan is for Halloween. Still recommend looking at Ray's forecast starting 3-5 days beforehand for then-current predictions. But you very well may see sub-freezing lows and frozen precip is not out of the question. Hurricane Sandy brought blizzard conditions in late October up there. You may also enjoy highs in the 70s! Most everything in between is possible, and it's far too early to guess.

AO

Thanks for the link to an accurate forecast. I will my eye on it. Of course I can go to weather.com, but I was hoping for exactly what you gave me... thank you!!!

Venchka
10-08-2015, 18:28
Last year it snowed. My grandchildren sent me a picture of the Halloween Snowman that they built.
Absolutely follow Ray's Weather for the forecasts in Watauga and Avery counties. Ray knows the High Country.
Have fun!

Wayne

Venchka
10-08-2015, 18:30
ps: I just saw your comment about following weather.com.
No way. Those folks don't know the mountains.
Ray knows! Like to the hour when things are going to happen. It's spooky.

Wayne

bwb49
10-08-2015, 21:20
Ray is a professor at Appalachian State University in Boone and he does have the weather in the high country figured out

Venchka
10-08-2015, 22:27
Ray is a professor at Appalachian State University in Boone and he does have the weather in the high country figured out

Cool. I didn't know that. Thanks.

Wayne


Sent from somewhere around here.

Lnj
10-09-2015, 12:48
And this is why we go to the WB community for answers instead of just googling or weather.com. :)

misterfloyd
10-09-2015, 13:26
+1 on Rays, use it often.
Grandfather is an adult jungle gym with the ladders and the cables. Lots of fun. The are two camps at the base and your in hiking distance from Julian Price State Park, another cool place.
Hope you get a clear day on Calloway peak, view is awesome.
Beware-plenty of "leafers" in the area. Although it may have dies down by then.
Floyd

Tipi Walter
10-09-2015, 13:31
Worst case is freezing rain. Best case is sunny/dry/warm. Weather.com can give you the average as well as record highs and lows.

Worst case is sleet and/or snow with high winds.


Last year it snowed. My grandchildren sent me a picture of the Halloween Snowman that they built.
Absolutely follow Ray's Weather for the forecasts in Watauga and Avery counties. Ray knows the High Country.
Have fun!

Wayne

I lived in Boone several years ago when we got walloped by a big Halloween snowstorm (1991)---see:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991_Halloween_blizzard


Last year I was way south of Grandfather Mt on Slickrock Creek NC and got hit by a Halloween snowstorm. See---

https://tipiwalter.smugmug.com/Backpack-2014-Trips-152/Halloween-Snowstorm/i-QndD8wZ/0/L/TRIP%20160%20276-L.jpg

hikernutcasey
10-09-2015, 13:37
As everyone else has said, Ray's Weather is the bomb! Ray doesn't have a station or reporting site from Grandfather itself but you can click on the neighboring summits of Sugar or Beech Mountain to get a very comparable forecast with what you should expect on the ridgelines of Grandfather.

What are your plans mileage wise? It is very tough going up there. The closest thing I can compare it to is hiking the Whites. Slow going and you will not make a lot of miles. I once did a day hike up the Profile trail all the way over to the swinging bridge and back which is 11.2 miles I think if you include the side trip to Calloway Peak. It took me 7.5 hours! But as others have said there really isn't anything like it around here and it is truly stunning. Enjoy your trip!