Best way to locate the bubble?

[Chuch]

Hi all,
Can you guide me finding the easiest way to locate the bubble of thru's on the trail? I've been watching some journals, but I swear I remember seeing some stats somewhere, or a better resource for this.

Thanks!

C

[moldy]

Today the Bubble is just South of the NOC. Warmer than normal weather this winter has decreased the size of the bubble and spread hikers out. Early starters are in mid Virginia now and a few jackrabbits are North of Harpers Ferry. One way to extract the location of the bubble is by reading Trail Journals.com. Not a quick and easy task. I know of no real time resource for following the mob. There are some, after the fact recounts that get published each year.

[bus]

Cool thread. WOuld like to drop some magic when the bubble gets closer to Spivey Gap. I guess that should be next week?!

[Odd Man Out]

For historic data, the classic thread is here

http://www.whiteblaze.net/forum/content.php?44

This won't take into consideration annual variations peculiar to this year.
Here is is the most relevant data extracted:

TABLE 3 -- Date Landmarks Were Reached

MEDIAN DAY ~~ MEAN DAY ~~~ LANDMARK
March 17............March 20...........Springer
March 25............March 28...........Georgia Border
April 1................April 5...............Fontana
April 28..............April 29..............Damascus
May 29..............May 28..............Waynesboro
June 9...............June 8...............Harpers Ferry
June 29.............June 27..............DWG
July 12..............July 10...............Kent
Aug. 5...............Aug. 2...............Glencliff
Aug. 15.............Aug. 12..............Gorham
Aug. 26.............Aug. 22..............Stratton
Sept. 9..............Sept. 4..............Katahdin!

[Firefighter503]

Interesting data. Tagging this for later use.

[lemon b]

Just track the volume of food shipments.

[Pedaling Fool]

One does not locate the bubble; one must become the bubble....ummmmm....ummmmm...ummmmmm