Unless there's a rash of last-minute decisions to join the Flip Flop Kick Off and hike north, which I don't think there will be, we don't have any worries about too many people.
In the "starting a thru-hike northbound from Harpers Ferry" category we have 72 registered overall (through the voluntary thru-hiker registration), but that's over the course of the entire season.
So far, 19 of those have registered their "arrival date" in Harpers Ferry sometime between May 1 and May 3. (The language is confusing. We meant "when are you starting your thru-hike" but it reads more like, "when are you arriving in Harpers Ferry.")
Some of these will attend the Flip Flop Kick Off, some will not.
Of those, only 6 wrote in the comments that they would be attending the Kick Off. Others have emailed me separately saying they would be attending; some I've seen on social media or elsewhere that they have altered their plans.
Anyway, I will work on tightening up the numbers over the next week or so, but I don't think we have to worry about hordes. We might have 6, 12, maybe more if there's a last-minute surge. The first night out, most will be staying at Ed Garvey Shelter or campsites, but our thru-hikers will be dispersed over three overnight sites, and some may go to the commercial Maple Tree Campground near Crampton Gap or back to Harpers Ferry.
Here's the latest chart of registered thru-hikers starting in Harpers Ferry northbound (although a few didn't read the category right and are actually going southbound from Harpers Ferry).
You can view this chart on-line at
www.appalachiantrail.org/thruhikeregistration. All the thru-hiker graphs should be updated by about noon tomorrow. We've been updating it weekly, but after tomorrow, will update them only every 3-4 weeks.
I'll continue to keep everyone posted!
Laurie P.