So, you're basing a pack choice on your intermittent very rare fears? That's not UL philosophy.
UL philosophy incorporates skills, logistical considerations,.... UL philosophy is not just about gear.
Going UL can entail reducing some aspect(s) of your kit or consumables wt and bulk while adding something, like food, back in. For example, 100 MW has very good spaced out and reliable water sources. Availing oneself of this water beta helps reduce unnecessary water wt hauls. Considering the majority of NOBO's hit the 100 MW in fallk it will be cooler too.
Whitehouse Landing has reopened. Definitely check ahead but you'll need 1.5 to 2 days less food from Munson through the 100 MW if you avail yourself of WHL's facilities and food supplementation. WHL used to, and may still, hold boxes. It's been a mistaken assumption that one needs to haul 100 miles worth of food through the so called 100 MW. And, as others have stated most AT NOBO's get through 100 MW in 5-6 days which you'd likely already be VERY VERY familiar on a NOBO... at a time when you're in primo LD hiking condition. AND, at this stage in a NOBO you'll likely have gained new gear, consumables, and wt saving strategies compared to now or at the Springer Mt start.
AND, long before you reach the 100 MW you should have ascertained its condition.
In short, little need to base buying a backpack for what
may occur on a 2200 mile hike for short durations when you have ample time and availability to adapt on a shorter notice or avail oneself of existing opportunities .
If for some reason you still wish to go downpour pack choice reasoning the ULA Circuit I know can handle 35-40 lbs on a short term basis as each day your food load wt is being decreases.
Good luck with your hike.
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