So, no surprise, it's been a dry winter... and that means more fires. Predictions are that this year will be as bad or worse than 2012-2013. Already, we have a few fires burning in Southern CO, the most damaging being the 416 fire north of Durango... not too far east of the CT. I am planning a CT thru starting late June from Waterton Canyon, but already thinking of a plan B and going to another part of the country for a summer hike. Probably the CDT in WY/MT. I'd say the chances are high that the San Juan NF (already in Stage 2 Fire Restriction) will be going to Stage 3 (closure) and I have to assume the Rio Grande NF will follow suit. Those two areas alone encompass nearly half of the CT. I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility that there will be no CT thru-hikes this summer... for anyone that is partially sane

Anyone have any thoughts or inside information based on historical data from previous bad fire years?