Scenario: You're going on a 3-4 day section hike and loading your pack. There is no rain in the forecast.
Question: Do you still take rain gear?
If not, what is the "x% chance of rain" that you do take something to wear that'll keep you dry?
My thinking is that if there is no rain in the forecast and I'm only going to be out 3-4 days then I could (maybe?) get away with taking my .99 cent Wally World emergency poncho. Anything over 20% I'll switch to my DriDucks. What gives me pause with this plan is that the whole DriDucks ensemble only weighs 9 oz - why not just take them and leave the elcheapo poncho at home......
Thanks,
Thomas