Can I get away with using a Plasma 30 bag...instead of buying the Plasma 15? Will be leaving arriving on Springer March 10th. Just figure the weather this season has been very weak (knock on wood)...and would opt for a cheaper bag. Will have a goose down jacket and thick wool long johns as well. How COLD can it get in the Smoky's? Or should I bite the bullet and pay the extra money.